AccScience Publishing / IJOCTA / Online First / DOI: 10.36922/IJOCTA026180071
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RESEARCH ARTICLE

Organizational intelligence for real-time traffic estimation with real Taif sensor deployment

Mahmoud Rokaya1* Dalia I. Hemdan2 Ashraf Alyanbaawi3 Abdulqader M. Almars4 Ghada Elmarhomy5 El-Sayed Atlam6,7
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1 Department of Information Technology, College of Computers and Information Technology, Taif University, Taif, Mecca Province, Saudi Arabia
2 Department of Food Science and Nutrition, Faculty of Science, Taif University, Taif, Mecca Province, Saudi Arabia
3 Department of Networks and Information Systems, College of Computer Science and Engineering, Taibah University, Yanbu, Medina Province, Saudi Arabia
4 Department of Computer Science, College of Science, Northern Border University, Arar, Arar Province, Saudi Arabia
5 Department of Information Systems, College of Computer Science and Engineering, Taibah University, Yanbu, Medina Province, Saudi Arabia
6 Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Engineering, Taibah University, Yanbu, Medina Province, Saudi Arabia
7 Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computer and Information, Tanta University, Tanta, Gharbiya, Egypt
Received: 29 April 2026 | Revised: 6 June 2026 | Accepted: 8 June 2026 | Published online: 8 July 2026
© 2026 by the Author(s). This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution -Noncommercial 4.0 International License (CC-by the license) ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ )
Abstract

Real-time urban traffic estimation and prediction under sparse sensing, partial observability, and varying demand persist as difficult optimization issues in intelligent transportation systems. Recent centralized deep models typically require large historical datasets, incur high computational costs, and have insufficient adaptability to dynamic environments. To this end, we explored the design of a scalable and robust framework for improving traffic reconstruction and forecasting with incomplete observations. To accomplish this goal, we presented an organizational intelligence model, in which the traffic network was modeled as a dynamic graph of lightweight local computational units assigned to each road segment or intersection. These entities work together in distributed optimization processes that include adaptive influence weighting, role specialization, and structural coordination. This architecture separates local computation from global coordination, enabling efficient training without increasing model depth. We tested the framework on benchmark traffic data and realistic urban environments in Taif, Saudi Arabia. The proposed model on the benchmark dataset reduced the test root mean-squared error from 0.5578 to 0.3530 (36.7%), and the test mean absolute error (MAE) from 0.3013 to 0.1614 (46.4%) relative to a centralized baseline. The validation loss decreased by 48.0%. On real-scale deployment units, total MAE fell from 6.6473 to 6.2060, while hidden-node MAE decreased from 6.8816 to 6.4787. Other experiments demonstrated lower inference latency, increased robustness in limited-data scenarios, and stable transfer to unseen environments. These results show that organizational intelligence is an efficient, scalable, optimization-oriented alternative for next-generation real-time urban traffic management.

Keywords
Traffic flow optimization
Intelligent transportation systems
Distributed optimization
Real-time traffic estimation
Graph-based learning
Multi-agent systems
Urban mobility management
Partial observability
Funding
This work is funded by the Deanship of Graduate Studies and Scientific Research, Taif University.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare they have no competing interests or words to that effect.
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An International Journal of Optimization and Control: Theories & Applications, Electronic ISSN: 2146-5703 Print ISSN: 2146-0957, Published by AccScience Publishing