AccScience Publishing / AIH / Online First / DOI: 10.36922/aih.3750
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE

A machine learning approach to unravel client and program-specific effects in opioid treatment retention

Yinfei Kong1* Erick Guerrero2 Jemima Frimpong3 Tenie Khachikian4 Suojin Wang5 Thomas D’Aunno6 Daniel Howard4
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1 Department of Information Systems and Decision Sciences, College of Business and Economics, California State University, Fullerton, CA, United States of America
2 Research to End Health Disparities Corp, I-Lead Institute, Los Angeles, CA, United States of America
3 New York University Stern School of Business, New York University Abu Dhabi, Saadiyat Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
4 Department of Psychological and Brain Sciences, College of Arts and Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, United States of America
5 Department of Statistics, College of Arts and Sciences, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, United States of America
6 Health Policy and Management, Robert F. Wagner Graduate School of Public Service, New York University, New York, NY, United States of America
Submitted: 24 May 2024 | Accepted: 25 October 2024 | Published: 14 November 2024
© 2024 by the Author(s). This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ )
Abstract

This study examines the impact of workforce diversity, particularly the presence of Black/African American staff, on client retention in opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment, recognizing the historically low retention rates among Black and Hispanic populations in such programs. Using a novel machine learning technique called “causal forest,” we explored the heterogeneous treatment effects of staff diversity on client retention, aiming to identify strategies that enhance client retention and improve treatment outcomes. Analyzing data from four waves of the National Drug Abuse Treatment System Survey spanning the years 2000, 2005, 2014, and 2017 (n = 627), we focus on the relationship between workforce diversity and retention. The findings revealed diversity-related variations in retention across 61 out of 627 OUD treatment programs (<10%), with potential beneficial effects attenuated by other program characteristics. These characteristics include programs that are more likely to be private-for-profit, have lower percentages of Black and Latino clients, lower staff-to-client ratios, higher proportions of staff with graduate degrees, and lower percentages of unemployed clients. Our results suggest that workforce diversity alone is insufficient for improving retention. Programs with characteristics linked to greater retention are better positioned to leverage a diverse workforce to enhance retention, offering important implications for policy and program design to better support Black clients with OUDs.

Keywords
Workforce diversity
Opioid use disorder
Treatment retention
Causal forest
Heterogeneous treatment effect
Funding
Support for this research and manuscript preparation was provided by a National Institute on Minority Health and Health Disparities research grant (R01MD014639, CoPIs: Daniel Howard and Erick Guerrero) and a National Institute on Drug Abuse research grant (DA048176, CoPIs: Jeanne Marsh and Erick Guerrero).
Conflict of interest
The authors declare they have no competing interests.
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Artificial Intelligence in Health, Electronic ISSN: 3029-2387 Print ISSN: 3041-0894, Published by AccScience Publishing