AccScience Publishing / EJMO / Online First / DOI: 10.36922/ejmo.7075
ORIGINAL RESEARCH ARTICLE

Cost-effectiveness of nivolumab plus chemotherapy for advanced gastric/gastroesophageal junction/esophageal adenocarcinoma in the United States

Jin Zhou1 Wei Oy-Yang2 Xia Yin3 Han Zhan3 Jin Luo3 Ge-Li Li4*
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1 Department of Oncology, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China
2 Department of Project Management, Hunan Institute of Microbiology, Hunan Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Changsha, Hunan, China
3 Department of Oncology, 921 Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force, The Chinese People’s Liberation Army, Changsha, Hunan, China
4 Department of Oncology, Affiliated Hospital of Xiangnan University, Chenzhou, Hunan, China
Submitted: 5 December 2024 | Revised: 2 January 2025 | Accepted: 14 January 2025 | Published: 4 February 2025
© 2025 by the Author(s). This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution -Noncommercial 4.0 International License (CC-by the license) ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ )
Abstract

Nivolumab, in combination with chemotherapy, significantly improves survival in patients with gastric/gastroesophageal junction (G/GEJ)/esophageal adenocarcinoma. The study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of nivolumab plus chemotherapy for the treatment of G/GEJ/esophageal adenocarcinoma. A Markov model was developed from the perspective of United States healthcare payers. We estimated costs and summarized effectiveness in terms of quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the impact of uncertainties on the cost-effectiveness results. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for nivolumab plus chemotherapy ($149,636.97, 1.24 QALYs) compared to chemotherapy alone ($13,941.06, 0.75 QALYs) is $135,695.91, with a difference of 0.49 QALYs. Evidence suggests that nivolumab plus chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of locally advanced or metastatic G/GEJ/esophageal adenocarcinoma may not represent a cost-effective option within the United States healthcare system.

Keywords
Cost-effectiveness
Nivolumab
Metastatic gastric/gastroesophageal junction/esophageal adenocarcinoma
Markov model
Funding
The study was self-funded by the authors and did not rely on external funding sources.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.
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Eurasian Journal of Medicine and Oncology, Electronic ISSN: 2587-196X Print ISSN: 2587-2400, Published by AccScience Publishing