AccScience Publishing / EJMO / Volume 5 / Issue 1 / DOI: 10.14744/ejmo.2021.89947
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Estimation of Death and Recovery Rates using Covid-19 Data of Pakistan

Muhammad Kashif1 Rimsha Nasir1 Hafiza Nida1 Muhammad Imran Khan1
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1 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Agriculture Faisalabad, Faisalabad, Punjab, Pakistan
Submitted: 16 December 2020 | Accepted: 16 February 2020 | Published: 25 February 2020
© 2020 by the Author(s). This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution -Noncommercial 4.0 International License (CC-by the license) ( https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ )
Abstract

Objectives: The aim of this study is to estimate the recovery rate and death rate of the Covid-19 patients in Pakistan both at provincial level and at national level.

Methods: In the current study simple linear regression model is used to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) and recovery rate (RR). Also, the polynomial regression model has been employed to predict the infected patients of Covid-19 across Pakistan and for all its provinces.

Results: The results indicate that the provinces: Punjab, Sindh, KPK and ICT have been projected to be sensitive regarding COVID-19.

Conclusion: it is strongly suggested that prevention must be considered, and full attention must be provided by each citizen to follow the SOPs recommend by health department. If responsible attitude will not be expressed by individuals, then there is chance of increase of COVID patients again and put the country back in struggle.

Keywords
COVID-19
Pakistan
regression model
CFR
RR
Predictions
Conflict of interest
None declared.
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Eurasian Journal of Medicine and Oncology, Electronic ISSN: 2587-196X Print ISSN: 2587-2400, Published by AccScience Publishing